Mon 14 Aug 2006
That’s the score as I see it this morning as the U.N. cease fire seems to be taking affect in southern Lebanon. Unless Israel has a hidden, surprise attack in the works, it looks like they lost this war. Hezbollah survives to fight another day. The fact that they survived means they won. They could fire more rockets on Haifa tomorrow if they wanted to, made clear by the 250 rockets they fired into Israel yesterday.
Which really means that Iran won, too. With the defeat of George Bush/Condi Rice’s diplomatic efforts to give Isreal more space and time to fight, and with the apparant loss of power to do this, the US will have less power to restrain Iranian nuclear developments and, more significantly, Iranian growth of power in Iraq.
Reuters has a good summary of the situation.
